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Andrew Mount’s SpreadEx Analysis – Sunday November 7th

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Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount takes a look at Sunday’s SpreadEx markets to find the best value spread betting and fixed odds opportunities.

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There’s a quality jumps card at Sandown on Sunday where Andrew has two recommended bets/trades:

Horse Racing Betting Tips for Sunday November 7th

SANDOWN 12.30

With regular front-runners CHAMPAGNE COURT, BROKEN HALO and VORASHANN in opposition there’s a good chance that this conditional jockeys’ handicap hurdle will be set up for a closer. Harry Fry’s MR ONE MORE looks the likeliest to benefit. He appreciated the presence of Vorashann, who he had back in third place, when winning at Fontwell last time on his first start following wind surgery. The lightly-raced nine-year-old tends to run best at this time of year,  recording form figures of 11121 (4-5) in October or November, with the defeat by just half a length.

Recommendation: Back MR ONE MORE in Sandown 12.30

SANDOWN 3.15

Ten-year-olds, the youngest age group allowed to run, win more than their fair share of veterans’ handicap chases. Since these races were introduced they have a 14.2% strike-rate, compared to 9.9% for 11-year-olds and just 6.6% for 12-year-olds. We couldn’t make a profit by backing the ten-year-olds blind, though the ones who finished sixth or worse on their latest outing do well. The theory being that they were usually competing against younger rivals on their latest start, often conceding weight in a big race at one of the spring festivals and the switch to veterans’ company represents a big drop in class. Four of the seven runners in this three-mile contest are aged 11 or 12 and all of them can be opposed. MR MAFIA currently heads the betting at 3-1 but would prefer much quicker going and is unlikely to get his own way in front with fellow pacesetter DANCING SHADOW (6-1) in opposition. The latter rarely finds much at the business end of his races and both can be sold in the 50-25-10 SpreadEx race market.

Recommendation: Oppose MR MAFIA and DANCING SHADOW in Sandown 3.15

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