If you’re familiar with sports betting, you must have come across the term ‘fading’ a couple of times. Wondering what does fade mean in betting? The term simply refers to betting against an outcome for some reason.
Now, let’s find out more about this betting strategy. We’ll explain in more detail what does it mean to fade a bet and give tips to carry out this wagering technique. Read on to learn about fading in sports betting.
What Does it Mean to Fade a Bet?
What does fade mean in betting? Fading a bet means going against a particular team, player, or outcome for a specific reason. Rather than looking to wager on something, you’re more interested in betting against that thing.
Usually, sharp bettors fade the favored outcome, that is, betting against the event or team that the general public expects to happen or win. The opposite of fade in betting is tail.
Fade in sports betting can take several forms, so we’ll have a look at three scenarios below to explain further.
Fade a Consistent Losing Team
This is a popular and effective strategy to fade in sports betting. It involves staking on a team performing poorly because they’re facing another weak team.
For instance, consider a game between Team A and Team B. A have lost their previous five games on the bounce, and B are in a better run of form but are equally an underperforming outfit. Normally, the public and bookmakers will expect B to win. However, you can fade a bet and put your money on Team A, backing them to end their 5-game losing streak.
Fade a Consistent Winning Streak
If a team or player has been successful for a long time, stringing a couple of wins on the trot, the general public will expect them to continue winning. However, you can fade this strong team and back the weaker side to win.
This strategy could work when the favored side is in a rough patch, missing several players due to injuries, or struggling with scheduling issues. In such cases, the perceived underdog may just go ahead and win.
Fade the Stellar Performance
Imagine an NBA team suddenly performs incredibly well in a huge playoff game, like they are unstoppable. People get really excited about them, especially after seeing this outstanding performance on TV.
Here’s the thing: this victory might be a one-off. After such a big win, the team may struggle to keep up that standard and return to their normal level of performance. In that case, when NBA betting, rather than wagering on them to win again, you could fade a bet and wager on the opponent. So, if you’re wondering, ‘what does fade mean in betting,’ you have your answer.
Tips On When and How to Fade a Bet
Having understood what does fade mean in betting, let’s look at some helpful tips on how to fade a bet.
Gather Your Data
Before you fade in sports betting, do your due diligence and research the teams or players. Analyze the team news, player injuries, scheduling issues, weather conditions, recent performances, and head-to-head encounters. Ensure you consider any other factors that can influence the game’s outcome.Lines Change – Keep Updating
In the lead-up to the game, keep an eye on line movement and betting trends – they’ll keep changing. If you notice a significant shift in the betting line, it could indicate where the value lies and whether fading is the right choice.Home Underdog
When a home underdog plays, online sportsbooks and most bettors will likely side with the stronger opponent. In such situations, you can fade the public and wager on the underdogs. Since they’ll be playing on home turf, with the crowd’s support, there’s a good chance they will go ahead and pull off an upset.
Fading a Team in Betting and What it Means
What does it mean to fade a bet in sports betting? It refers to betting against a team, player, or betting market for a specific reason. Usually, people fade a bet to go against the favored outcome or consensus. Although this approach is risky, it tends to pay out richly when it wins.
Most times, people fade a bet because that outcome is heavily favored by the general public or the majority of bettors. The decision to bet against the crowd is usually based on the premise that the popular opinion or favored outcome is often overvalued. In such a case, if you bet on the opposite outcome and your wager wins, you’re in for a huge payday.
For instance, consider an NFL game between the New England Patriots and the Carolina Panthers, where the former is largely expected to win. They may be favorites because of popular opinion or the odds set by bookmakers. If you bet on the Panthers (against the Patriots), you’re fading a bet.
Fading a Handicapper in Betting and What it Means
A handicapper is a person who predicts the outcomes of a game based on their analysis. Now, most of these handicappers are unreliable and often give wrong predictions. They’re often the loud ones claiming all their bet picks are guaranteed and will surely win. If that was indeed the case, why aren’t they millionaires?
It’s a good strategy in sports betting to fade whatever picks these popular handicappers make. Whatever bets they recommend, go against the prediction and back the opposite outcome. There’s a good chance you’ll win the wager.
Is Fading a Bet a Good Strategy?
Now that we know the answer to ‘What does fade mean in betting,’ let’s discuss whether it’s worth it. Fade in sports betting is a good strategy if done properly. With this wagering technique, you can stake a small amount of money and pay out huge sums.
Take, for example, when Emma Raducanu miraculously won the 2021 US Open despite being ranked 150th in the world before the tournament. Many didn’t expect her to win, but a few lucky bettors faded the general public and went laughing all the way to the bank. One bettor cashed out a whopping £1,870 with a mere £3.74 wager.
That said, you should note that fading is risky and doesn’t guarantee a win, like every betting strategy out there. Therefore, it’s important to extensively research the teams and players before putting your money on them. Ensure you check their form guide, team news, scheduling, sportsbook odds, and more. Information is key.
Pros of Fading:
- Profitable if you have exclusive access to information or can research well
- Chance to exploit bookmaker’s tendency to shift the betting lines based on popular opinion
- Bet small and win big
- Take advantage of team injuries and scheduling issues
- Flexibility as the strategy can be applied in a wide range of situations or betting markets
Cons of Fading:
- Potential losses if the popular opinion proves correct
- Bettors who fade can get overconfident and lose huge sums
- Frustration if you continuously bet against outcomes that turn out successful
- Takes time and effort to research, analyze, and identify opportunities
What Does Fading a Bet Mean for Me?
I find fading to be an effective yet risky strategy in sports betting. I agree; it seems counterintuitive to bet on the outcome most people believe is correct. However, public opinion is not always right. Some people just jump on the bandwagon and make bet picks without much reasoning. This is called tailing, the opposite of fade in betting.
If you can conduct adequate research and come up with information not readily available to other bettors, fade betting could be your ideal strategy. Analyze game data before the match starts and use it to your advantage. I’ll advise you to stake small since the fade bet odds are usually inflated.
FAQs
What is the fading system in betting?
The fading system, also known as ‘fading the public,’ simply refers to going against popular opinion when betting on teams, players, and outcomes. This is the answer to what does fade mean in betting sports.
Should I fade the public betting?
Yes, you should fade the public betting, but only if you’ve conducted enough research to justify your selection. Information is essential when you want to fade a bet.
What does it mean to fade a team in betting
This question is similar to what does fade mean in betting. When you fade a team, you’re betting against them. That is, you’re backing the opposing team to win.
What does it mean to fade a handicapper in betting
Fading a handicapper means wagering against their predictions or picks. Instead of following their recommendations, you bet on the opposite outcomes. This could be because you don’t agree with their selections or believe the handicapper is unreliable.
How do I fade in fantasy football?
Fading in fantasy football refers to leaving out a popular player from your lineup. It means avoiding popular or widely-owned players in favor of overlooked or less-owned players.
Victor Arum
Victor is a professional iGaming writer with 5+ years of experience creating quality and well-researched gambling pieces. Currently affiliated with Sports Lens, Victor provides expert insights and analysis on the world of sports betting. He creates content to help sports bettors make informed betting selections and potentially increase their gambling winnings.Victor is a professional iGaming writer with 5+ years of experience creating quality and well-researched gambling pieces. Currently affiliated with Sports Lens, Victor provides expert insights and analysis on the world of sports betting. He creates content to help sports bettors make informed betting selections and potentially increase their gambling winnings.View All Posts By Victor Arum