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Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Thursday Picks – September 22nd

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Andrew Mount

Leading racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.

Andrew has four selections at Perth, Newmarket – day one of the three-day Cambridgeshire meeting – and Chelmsford on Thursday (September 22). Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

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02/17/22

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets

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18+ BeGambleAware.org, T&Cs apply. New customers on mobile only. 7 days to claim and stake £10 minimum bet at odds of 1.5 or greater to qualify. Free, void, cashed out or partially cashed out bets do not qualify. Max 3x £10 free bets credited on bet settlement. Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 or greater. Free bets are non-withdrawable and stake not returned with winnings. 7 day expiry.


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PERTH 2.10

GOWEL ROAD (system – Nigel Twiston-Davies chase debutants in handicaps, fresh)

This century, Nigel Twiston-Davies is 31 from 118 with chase debutants, running in handicaps, who had been off the track for more than 150 days. Backing them all would have returned a profit of £55.30 to a £1 level stake at SP (the expected number of winners, based on their prices, was less than 20). Top weight GOWEL ROAD looks an interesting recruit to fences and can defy a 190-day absence.

 

NEWMARKET 4.10

GLOBAL HEAT (system – Saeed Bin Suroor, 4yo+, handicaps)

Since the start of 2018 we could have bet every single Saeed Bin Suroor-trained handicapper aged four or older and made a good profit. He’s scored with 85 of the 395 qualifiers (21.5% strike-rate) for a profit of £64.98 to a £1 level stake at SP. That’s a healthy profit of 16.5% on turnover but we could have boosted that to 39.4% (+£155.45) by taking the best price the evening before racing. The last three qualifiers all wo (22-1, 7-2 and 2-1) and GLOBAL HEAT can extend the sequence.

 

NEWMARKET 5.20

RECHERCHER (system – Ralph Beckett, first-time blinkers)

Since the beginning of 2016, Ralph Beckett has a 21 from 92 record with his first-time blinkered runners for a profit of £86.23 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners only 12.92). RECHERCHER has proved expensive to follow since May’s reappearance second at Goodwood, tasting defeat at odds of 7-2, 9-4f, 16-5, 13-8f and 5-2f but the headgear could make the difference here.

 

CHELMSFORD 7.45

RUMOURMONGER (system – Mick Appleby, first-time blinkers, fillies/mares)

RUMOURMONGER was a late mover from 40-1 into 22-1 on her debut for Mick Appleby here last week but completely blew the start and could never get beyond mid-division. The fitting of a hood and blinkers could help in that regard and it’s interesting to note that her trainer has won with four of his last eight fillies/mares to wear first-time blinkers, with the wins at 100-1, 16-1, 7-1 and 4-1. SWEET SUMMER also qualifies on this angle in the 6.45.

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets

02/17/22

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets

Claim Offer
18+ BeGambleAware.org, T&Cs apply. New customers on mobile only. 7 days to claim and stake £10 minimum bet at odds of 1.5 or greater to qualify. Free, void, cashed out or partially cashed out bets do not qualify. Max 3x £10 free bets credited on bet settlement. Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 or greater. Free bets are non-withdrawable and stake not returned with winnings. 7 day expiry.


New Customers – Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets with BetUK

BetUK bet 10 get 30

Over at online bookie BetUK, there’s a neat new customer offer where punters can sign up and get £30 in free bets after betting £10. Here are all the details:

  • New customers must sign up on mobile.
  • Stake a minimum amount of £10 on any sporting event.
  • The minimum odds for a qualifying bet are 1.5 (1/2).
  • A maximum of 3 x £10 free bets credited when a qualifying bet on selected events is settled.
  • Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 (3/10) or greater.
  • Void, cashed out, partially cashed out bets do not qualify.
  • Each Way bets, system bets and profit boost are not permitted for qualifying bet.
  • Free bets expire after 7 days of the qualifying bet settling, are non-withdrawable and not returned with winnings.
  • Further terms and conditions apply.

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