Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
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Andrew heads to the Flat meetings at Bath and Lingfield for his two recommended bets/trades on Wednesday, July 12th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
LINGFIELD 4.00
Owners Amo Racing have a great record with newcomers, whether two or three-years-olds and regardless of who trains them. They’ve had 37 winners from the 162 qualifiers (22.8% strike-rate) for a profit of £43.73 to a £1 level stake at SP and those who were beaten often made the frame, with 29 running second and 21 finishing third. Dominic Ffrench Davis has form figures of 24112124122315 (5-14) with the ones he’s saddled, suggesting that MYSTERIOUS SOUL could be worth a speculative buy in this restricted novice contest.
Recommendation: Back MYSTERIOUS SOUL in Lingfield 4.00
BATH 8.10
BEAUTIFUL AS ALWAYS is prominent in the betting for this 1m handicap on the strength of her last-time-out Thirsk runner-up effort but the 16-1 shot looked flattered that day, racing wide and getting across to the favoured nearside rail before her rivals. Her only other turf outing saw her finish unplaced when 11-2 at Ripon and the market looks to have overreacted to her latest effort. Sell in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market. There’s also a suspicion that current favourite KRACKING was flattered by his Leicester win – he challenged late/wide on the fastest strip of ground after the front-runners went off too hard towards the stands’ rail – so ALICE KNYVET could be the one for fixed odds punters.
Recommendation: Oppose BEAUTIFUL AS ALWAYS in Bath 8.10
RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today.
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- Check out the latest horse racing results from across the UK.
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