Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Spreadex Analysis – Sunday, June 4th

Andrew Mount
Andrew Mount

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.

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08/03/23

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Andrew heads to the Flat meetings at Listowel and Nottingham for his two recommended bets/trades on Sunday, June 4th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

NOTTINGHAM 2.15

Owners Amo Racing have a fine record with newcomers, regardless of age and who trains them. The most recent qualifier – FLACCIANELLO – won at odds of 9-1 at Catterick on Friday to take their full record to 36 winners from 154 runners (23.4%) for a profit of ÂŁ47.73 to the usual ÂŁ1 stake. This year, their consistency has been quite incredible, with the 28 runners record form figures of 2122431112162284152211322321. In Class 5 races they’ve struck with five of the 11 qualifiers and Richard Hannon’s PAINITE, a ÂŁ120,000 Breeze-Up buy, should know her job and is taken to upset the odds-on favourite Jasour. Buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price.

Recommendation: Back PAINITE in Nottingham 2.15

 

LISTOWEL JOCKEYS

Dermot Weld’s runners have been performing below market expectations for some time now and, since the beginning of 2016, he’s won with just 388 of his 2882 representatives (13.5% strike-rate) for a huge loss of £901.60 to a £1 level stake at SP (-31.3% on turnover). The expected number of winners was 424.31)=. His strike-rate dropped to 7.8% last year and it’s still below average in 2023. CHRIS HAYES rides two of the Weld runners today – newcomer Blue Poppy, a 7-2 chance in the opener (1.35), and Livio Milo, a 4-1 shot in the 1m maiden for older horses (3.37) – and it could be worth fielding against the jockey this afternoon, with a view to trading out before the 4.07 in which he rides FERRYBANK, well drawn in stall 1 on yesterday’s evidence and a player if reverting to the positive tactics that have served him well in the past (he caught the eye from off the pace on his reappearance). Sell in he Spreadex LISTOWEL JOCKEYS market.

Recommendation: Sell CHRIS HAYES in the LISTOWEL JOCKEYS market


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