Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe: Age Stat That’s Produced 94% Winners

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The Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2022, from Longchamp racecourse in France, takes centre stage this Sunday, with a field of 20 horses heading to post. But, to help you find the winner we’ve got a key Arc age trend that you simply can’t ignore.

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RELATED: Longchamp Racing Tips: 1-2-3 Horse Racing Best Bets, Sun 2nd Oct


What Date/Time Is The Qatar Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2022?

📅Date: 3:05pm – Sunday, 2nd October 2022
🏇Racecourse: Longchamp, 3:05
💰 Purse/Winner: € 5,000,000 / €2,857,00
📺 TV: ITV / Sky Racing


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RELATED: Prix de l’Abbaye 2022 Trends: Who Fits The Longchamp Stats?


Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2022 Stat Attack: Just 2 Winners Aged 5+ Since 1989

31 Of The Last 33 (94%) Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Winners Aged 3 or 4 Years-Old

The Arc age trend that’s produced 94% of winners since 1989 is simple too hard to ignore.

We’ve seen 31 of the last 33 Arc winners aged 3 or 4 years-old, with only two winning 5 year-olds over that period – Marienbard (2022) and Waldgeist (2019).

Prior to that, you have to go back to 1988 (Tony Bin) and then as far back as 1975 (Star Appeal) to find the last 5 year-old winners.

Just 4 Winning 5 Year-Olds Since 1948

If we add those four horses together, you actually have to trawl right back to 1947 to find the next 5 year-old Arc winner – meaning since 1948 the Longchamp race has only produced four winners aged 5! Plus, you also have to go back to 1932 to see the last winner aged 6+.

3 and 4 Year-Olds Have Dominated The Arc

So, with the poor record of the 5 year-olds this has meant the race has been littered with winners aged 3 or 4. The split 20 years reads:

  • 5 year-old Winners: 2
  • 4 year-old Winners: 7
  • 3 year-old Winners: 11
Okay, So Who Are The 2022 Arc Horses Aged 5+ To Ignore

Here is a list of horses aged 5 or older entered to run in the 2022 Arc – since 1989, only two horses aged 5+ have won the race, with 31 of the last 33 Arc winners aged 3 or 4!

Prix de lArc de
Torquator Tasso (2021 Arc Winner) Is Now A 5 Year-old

Note: Odds are subject to change


RELATED: Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Trends: The Draw Stat You Can’t Ignore


Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends Summary

  • 19/20 – Had won a Group 1 race before
  • 18/20 – Had won over 1m4f before
  • 16/20 – Had 4 or more runs that season
  • 15/20 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
  • 14/20 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 14/20 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
  • 14/20 – Had won at least 5 times before
  • 14/20 – Won last time out
  • 13/20 – Had run at Longchamp before
  • 12/20 – Had won at Longchamp previously
  • 11/20 – Aged 3 years-old
  • 11/20 – Placed favourites
  • 10/20 – Won by a French-based yard
  • 9/20 – Ran at Longchamp last time out
  • 8/20 – Female winners
  • 5/20 – Winning favourites
  • 5/20 – Won by a UK-based yard
  • 3/20 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 7)
  • 3/20 – Trained by Andre Fabre (won the race 8 times in all)
  • 2/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2016, 2007)
  • 3 of the last 13 Epsom Derby winners that season have won
  • The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 11/1
  • Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 7 runnings
  • Since 1976 we’ve seen just 3 winners aged 5 or older
  • 18 of the last 28 winners were aged 3 years-old
  • Jockey Olivier Peslier has won the race 4 times
  • Jockey Frankie Dettori has won the race 6 times

2022 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe: Latest Betting & Key Runners

See below the latest betting ahead of the Longchamp Qatar 2022 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe on Sunday 2nd October.

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Horse Latest Odds Bookmaker
LUXEMBOURG 4/1 888Sport logo
ALPINISTA 5/1 888Sport logo
TORQUATOR TASSO 15/2 888Sport logo
VADENI 8/1 888Sport logo
ONESTO 9/1 888Sport logo
TITLEHOLDER 9/1 888Sport logo
WESTOVER 10/1 888Sport logo
AL HAKEEM 12/1 888Sport logo
MISHRIFF 25/1 888Sport logo
BAR 25/1 888Sport logo

All odds correct as of 10:15 BST on Sun 2 Oct and subject to change

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Recent Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Winners

2021 – Torquator Tasso (72/1)
2020 – Sottsass (73/10)
2019 – Waldgeist (131/10)
2018 – Enable (Evs)
2017 – Enable (10/11 fav)
2016 – Found (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (9/2)
2014 – Treve (11/1)
2013 – Treve (9/2)

Watch Torquator Tasso Winning The 2021 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Again

 

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