Sunday’s Prix de l’Abbaye is a chance for some of the best sprinters around to showcase their talents. We take a look at the key Prix de l’Abbaye trends to help you find the winner of the 5f Group One Longchamp race.
Last year we saw A Case Of You win – he’ll be looking to become the first ‘back-to-back’ winner since Lochsong in 1993/1994.
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Prix de l’Abbaye 2022 Trends To Note
Let’s take a look at the main Prix de l’Abbaye stats – use these to whittle down the final Prix de l’Abbaye runners and find the best horse profiles based on past winners.
3 Years-olds Have Dominated In The Last Six Years
A 3 year-old has won Longchamp’s Prix de l’Abbaye for the last 3 years and also in 5 of the last 6 runnings. Yes, we’ve seen 11 of the last 20 winners aged 5 or 6, but in more recent times the 3 year-olds have dominated.
It’s also worth noting that the last winning 2 year-old was in 1978, should the Richard Fahey-trained The Platinum Queen make the trip over.
The 3 year-olds in the race are: Caturra, Castle Star, Mitbaahy, New York City, Flotus, Miramar.
Don’t Worry If Your Fancy Isn’t Already a Group 1 Winner
Despite being one of the top 5f sprints in Europe that is open to all ages, it hasn’t mattered if a horse isn’t already a winner at the top table. 17 of the last 20 Prix de l’Abbaye winners were yet to land a Group 1 race – suggesting that the up-and-coming speedsters are the ones to note.
UK-based Trainers Have A Top Recent Record
The Prix de l’Abbaye is also a race the UK yards have loved to target in recent years. In fact, in the last 10 runnings we’ve only had 3 French-trained winners. Last year we had an Irish winner in A Case Of You and he could be back for more, while with a stonking 14 of the last 20 winners coming from a UK-based stable, then anything the English send over has to be respected.
Since 2014 we’ve had winners for David O’Meara, Robert Cowell, Sir Mark Prescott, Charles Hills, Michael Dods and Kevin Ryan.
The UK runners this year are: The Platinum Queen, Flotus, White Lavender, Mo Celita, Raasel, Tees Spirit, Mitbaahy, and Caturra.
A Top Three Finish Last Time Out Often A Plus
They always say, when a sprinter is in form, then keep them onside. This has again been the case in the Prix de l’Abbaye with 70/% of the last 20 winners having finished in the top 3 last time out. We’ve also had 6 of the last 20 winners head into the race off the back of a victory, so looking for the runners that had a decent last run is always something to note.
The runners that finished in the top 3 last out are: The Platinum Queen, Flotus, Teresa Mendoza, Tees Spirit, Mitbaahy, Berneuil, Agiato, Coeur De Pierre & Moss Tucker.
65% Of The Last 20 Winners Drawn In Single-Figures
The Prix de l’Abbaye is normally a well-contested race and it seems having a low draw has had a slight advantage in recent times. Last year the winner – A Case Of You – came from stall 5, while the last three winners have been drawn 5 or lower.
Yes, in 2018 and 2016 we saw winners from stalls 13 and 12, but with 13 of the last 20 winners coming from stalls 9 or lower these have held sway – just!
Those drawn in single-figures are: Caturra, Coeur De Pierre, Agiato, Tees Spirit, Mo Celita, Teresa Mendoza, White Lavender, Flotus & The Platinum Queen.
Just 3 Winning Favourites Since 2002
It’s not been the best of races for the market leaders too – we’ve only had 3 winning favourites since 2002 and just one in the last 10 runnings (Battaash, 2017). However, the jollies never seem to be too far away as 13 of the last 20 favourites have still finished in the top 4.
The Last Back-to-Back Winner Was In 1993/1994
A Case For You took the race as a 3 year-old 12 months ago and this Adrian McGuinness runner could be back for more in 2022. A past winner of any race has to be respected, but it’s worth noting that the last horse to win the Prix de l’Abbaye in ‘back-to-back’ years was the classy Lochsong back in 1993/94.
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Prix de l’Abbaye Trends Summary
- 20/20 – Aged 6 or younger
- 19/20 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
- 17/20 – Yet to win a Group 1 race
- 16/20 – Had won over 5f before
- 15/20 – Won between 3-6 times before
- 14/20 – Won by UK-based yards
- 14/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
- 13/20 – Favourites placed in the top 4
- 13/20 – Came from a single-figure draw
- 12/20 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
- 11/20 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
- 7/20 – Had raced at Longchamp before
- 6/20 – Won last time out
- 4/20 – Ran at Newbury last time out
- 3/20 – Winning favourites
- 5 of the last 6 winners were aged 3 years-old
- The last winning 2 year-olds was in 1978
- Just one winner aged 7+ in the last 44 runnings
Prix de l’Abbaye Recent Winners
- 2021 – A CASE OF YOU (108/10)
- 2020 – WOODED (13/2)
- 2019 – GLASS SLIPPERS (128/10)
- 2018 – MABS CROSS (12/1)
- 2017 – BATTAASH (9/4 fav)
- 2016 – MARSHA (16/1)
- 2015 – GOLDREAM (15/2)
- 2014 – MOVE IN TIME (3/1)
- 2013 – MAAREK (15/2)
- 2012 – WIZZ KID (7/1)
Watch A Case Of You Winning The 2021 Prix de l’Abbaye
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