You can use our ITV horse racing trends to narrow down the search for the winners for the LIVE ITV4 action at Lingfield, Ascot and Haydock this Saturday. These our key horse racing stats to whittle the runners to find the best profiles based on past winners of the races.
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ITV4 Racing Stats for Saturday 13th May 2023
It’s Derby and Oaks Lingfield Trials day at the Surrey track this Saturday and the ITV racing cameras are there to take in four of the races. The action has been switched to their All Weather track with the turf course unraceable at the moment.
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Lingfield Horse Racing Trends: At The Races App Handicap Stats
Just the five past running of this first ITV race at Lingfield on Saturday, but with ALL winners aged between 4-6 years-old, plus carrying 9st 2lbs or more and coming from stalls 2-7 – this will allow us to narrow down the entries. While trainers Karl Burke and Roger Varian has decent strike-rates with their 4+ year-olds at the course.
Download The At The Races App Handicap Cl5 (4yo+ 0-75) 7f ITV4
- 5/5 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
- 5/5 – Carried 9st 2lbs or more in weight
- 5/5 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
- 4/5 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
- 2/5 – Winning favourites
- 2/5 – Trained by Richard Hannon
- Trainer Roger Varian has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
- Trainer Karl Burke has a 22% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
RELATED: Chester Horse Racing Trends: Stats To Find Thursday’s ITV Racing Winners
Lingfield Horse Racing Trends: Chartwell Fillies’ Stakes Stats
All of the last 16 winners of this Fillies’ Stakes Group 3 were aged 5 or younger, while look for horses drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc) as they’ve won 81% of the last 16 runnings too.
2.25 – Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4
- 16/16 – Aged 5 or younger
- 13/16 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
- 13/16 – Won between 1-4 times before
- 13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 12/16 – Had won over 7f before
- 10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 9/16 – Placed favourites
- 9/16– Irish-bred
- 8/16 – Won last time out
- 8/16 – Drawn in stall 3 (5) or 7 (3)
- 6/16 – Non UK-trained winners
- 5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
- 3/16 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
- 3/16 – Winning favourites
- 6 of the last 13 winners returned double-figures in the betting
Lingfield Horse Racing Trends: Oaks Trials Fillies’ Stakes Stats
Horses that had no more than 3 career runs have fared well here, plus certainly look back at last runs as 37% of the last 19 winners raced at Newmarket or Newbury last time out.
3.00 – Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4
- 17/19 – Had won no more than once before
- 16/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 16/19 – Had no more than 3 career runs
- 16/19 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
- 12/19 – Came from stall 5 or higher
- 12/19 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
- 10/19 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
- 9/19 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
- 9/19 – Having first run of the season
- 9/19 – Won last time out
- 7/19 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
- 7/19 – Winning favourites
- 5/19 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
- 5/19 – Winners from stall 5
- 5/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
- 4/19 – Trained by John Gosden
- 3/19 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
- 2/19 – Trained by William Haggas
- 2/19 – Irish-trained winners
Lingfield Horse Racing Trends: Derby Trial Stakes Stats
A race top Irish trainer Aidan O’Brie likes to target – winning 6 of the last 20, but in the last 20 runnings we’ve only seen 1 horse go onto win the Epsom Derby – Anthony Van Dyck in 2019.
3.35 – Lingfield Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4
- 20/20 – Had won no more than 3 times
- 16/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 15/20 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
- 15/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
- 15/20 – Finished 4th or better last time out
- 14/20 – Favourites placed
- 13/20 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
- 9/20 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
- 7/20 – Won last time out
- 6/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
- 5/20 – Winning favourites
- 4/20 – Ran at Newbury last time out
- 4/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
RELATED: Lingfield Horse Racing Tips: 1-2-3 Derby Trial Day Best Bets On Saturday
Haydock ITV Horse Racing Trends: Live ITV4 Racing Stats for Saturday 13th May 2023
Just the one ITV race at Haydock this Saturday but it’s over the sticks for the Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle – the old Swinton Hurdle to our older readers!
Haydock Horse Racing Trends: Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Stats
All of the last 19 winners of the old Swinton Hurdle were aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old. Also note horses carrying 10-9 or less in weight as this trends as been responsible for 63% of the last 19 runnings. Finally, if trainer Evan Williams has any runners take note – he’s won 4 of the last 9.
3.15 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4
- 19/19 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
- 19/19 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
- 18/19 – Carried 11-5 or less
- 18/19 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
- 17/19 – Didn’t win last time out
- 16/19 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
- 12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 12/19 – Irish bred
- 12/19 – Carried 10-9 or less
- 11/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
- 10/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
- 8/19 – Ran at Aintree last time out
- 7/19 – Returned a double-figure price
- 6/19 – Winning favourites
- 5/19 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
- 4/19 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 9 runnings)
- 3/19 – Ran at Ayr last time out
- 2/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
- 1/19 – Irish-trained winners
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Ascot Horse ITV Racing Trends: Live ITV4 Racing Stats for Saturday 13th May 2023
The final venue for a busy day for the ITV horse racing cameras is at Ascot as the Berkshire venue plays host to three races that include the ultra-competitive Victoria Cup at 2:40.
Ascot Horse Racing Trends: Peroni Nastro Azzurro Handicap Stats
4 and 5 year-olds have dominated here – especially 4 year-olds, who have won 80% of the last 10 renewals. Also look for horses carrying 9-4 or less in weight and don’t worry if your horse didn’t win last time out – 8 of the last 10 winners came here off the back of a non-winning last outing.
1.30 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 1m4f
- 10/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 10/10 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
- 10/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 9/10 – Won 2 or 3 times before
- 8/10 – Rated between 86 and 91
- 8/10 – Carried 9-4 or less
- 8/10 – Aged 4 years-old
- 8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
- 8/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
- 5/10 – Drawn in stalls 4-8 (inc)
- 4/10 – Won on reappearance run (4 of last 5)
- 4/10 – Horses from stall 11 placed (1 winner)
- 4/10 – Had raced at Ascot before
- 4/10 – Winning favourites (3 of last 5)
- 2/10 – Trained by Roger Varian
- 2/10 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
Ascot Horse Racing Trends: Peroni Nastro Azzurro Fillies’ Handicap Stats
75% of the last 16 winners here were aged 4, and with 88% aged 5 or younger then discount any horses aged 6+. Horses that didn’t win last time out have a good record too (94%), while winning form over a mile is a must-have too.
2.05 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4
- 15/16 – Failed to win last time out
- 15/16 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
- 14/16– Had won over a mile before
- 14/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
- 14/16 – Aged 5 or younger
- 12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
- 11/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 11/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
- 9/16 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
- 9/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
- 9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 8/16 – Rated between 82-87
- 4/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
- 2/16 – Winning favourites (none in the last 10)
Ascot Horse Racing Trends: Victoria Cup Handicap Stats
The last 9 winners of the Victoria Cup came from a double-figure draw, so if repeated that will knock out 9 runners. A top 4 finish is another thing to look for, while horses aged 5 or younger have won 84% of the last 19 renewals.
It’s also not been a great race for the favourites – with just 1 of the last 13 market leaders going in, with 63% of the last 19 jollies also finishing unplaced.
2.40 – Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4
- 16/19 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
- 16/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
- 16/19 – Aged 5 or younger
- 16/19– Had won no more than 3 times
- 15/19 – Had won over 7f before
- 13/19 – Carried 8-10 or less
- 12/19 – Unplaced favourites
- 11/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
- 9/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 9/19 – Had run at Ascot before (6 winners)
- 5/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
- 4/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 13 years
- The last 9 winners came from a double-figure draw
- Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield
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