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Ascot Racing Tips & Trends: 1-2-3 Best Bets, Sat 1st Oct 22

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Ascot racing tips on Saturday 1st October, as the ITV cameras are showing four more LIVE races that includes the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap (3:36) today.

Here at SportsLens, we take you through the best of the Ascot races today, with our quickfire 1-2-3 selections, plus the key trends to apply to each contest.

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RELATED: Ascot Races Today – See Ascot Horse Racing Tips, Results & Cards


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Ascot Horse Racing Tips & Trends | 1-2-3 Best Bets For ITV Racing, Saturday 1st Oct 22

See our quickfire 1-2-3 Ascot horse racing best bets for the ITV races on Saturday, 1st October.


1.51 – Oakman Group Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

1. KING’S LYNN (e/w) 2. Acklam Express 3. Tis Marvellous

KING’S LYNN (e/w) @ 4/1 with BetUK gets the nod here for the King. This useful sprinter was last seen running down the field in the Platinum Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot back in June. He was only beaten 4 1/2 lengths in that Group One so that was a respectable run and will find this ease into Listed company more to his liking, while he’s also been freshened up with 105 days off. Acklam Express has also been running in better races and the first-time visor is interesting, while last year’s winner Tis Marvellous has to be noted too.

  • 17/17 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
  • 17/17 – Won over 5f before
  • 16/17 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
  • 13/17 – Rated 101 or higher
  • 11/17 – Had won between 3-7 times before
  • 9/17 – Unplaced last time out
  • 8/17 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
  • 9/17 – Raced at Newbury last time out
  • 7/17 – Irish bred
  • 3/17 – Won last time out
  • 2/17 – Winning favourites
  • 8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
  • Tis Marvellous won the race in 2021
  • 13 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
  • The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
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2.25 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

1. HAMISH 2. Cresta 3. High Definition

HAMISH @ 11/10 with BetUK ran the new kid on the ‘staying block’ Kyprios to 3/4 of a length in the Irish St Leger last time out and on that form would be the one to beat here. The drop back to 1m4f (from 1m6f) will be fine too and having only had two runs this year will be fresher than more. The 2020 winner Euchen Glen could go well at a price, but isn’t getting any younger, so easy recent Windsor winner Cresta and the Aidan O’Brien entry High Definition look the ones to give the Haggas horse most to think about.

  • 18/19 – Finished fourth or better last time out
  • 17/19 – Placed favourites
  • 16/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
  • 16/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
  • 15/19 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
  • 14/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
  • 14/19 – Won at Listed or Group class before
  • 14/19 – Had raced at the course before (7 won)
  • 12/19 – Had 5 or more runs that season
  • 12/19 – Had won 4 or more times before
  • 10/19 – Won last time out
  • 10/19 – Favourites to win
  • 6/19 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
  • 1/19 – Filly or mare winners
  • 12 of the last 13 winners came from draws 8 or lower
  • The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1
  • Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket
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RELATED: Newmarket Racing Tips & Trends: 1-2-3 Best Bets, Sat 1st Oct 22


3.00 – John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

1. ROHAAN 2. Vadream 3. Commanche Falls

ROHAAN @ 3/1 with BetUK landed the Wokingham Handicap here at Royal Ascot back in June for the second year and looks to have a cracking chance back at the Berkshire track. Last seen running third in the G1 Sprint Cup at Haydock, this David Evans runner does seem to save his best for this venue being 3-from-4 in recent runs here. The consistent Commanche Falls ran another top race in the Ayr Gold Cup (2nd) and can go well upped in grade, while last year’s winner Vadream has been a bit in-and-out this season but could bounce back, especially if the track gets any rain.

  • 13/13 – Won over 6f previously
  • 13/13 – Officially rated 100 or higher
  • 11/13 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
  • 10/13 – Won 4 or more times previously
  • 8/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
  • 7/13 – Raced 6 or more times that season
  • 5/13 – Won their previous race
  • 4/13 – Favourites to win
  • 3/13 – Returned a double-figure price
  • 2/13 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
  • 2 of the last 4 winners came from stalls 6
  • 8 of the last 9 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
  • Vadream (6/1) won the race last year
  • Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 10 runnings (3 wins)
  • Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 6 of the last 10 runnings
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3.36 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

1. BLUE FOR YOU (e/w) 2. Rhoscolyn 3. Silent Film

BLUE FOR YOU (e/w) @ 11/1 with BetUK has had a top season, hitting the top two in his last four races and winning last time at York in a decent handicap. This David O’Meara runner is up 6lbs for that so more needed, but has been freshened up with 44 days off and is still only 4 years old – looks the sort to have more in to come. Another O’Meara entry, Rhoscolyn looks to have a leading chance after running well at Goodwood and Leopardstown recently and connections are helping this time by booking Adam Farragher to take off 5lbs. Silent Film, is another to have on your radar with the useful Harry Davies catching the eye in the saddle and claiming 3lbs.

  • 16/19 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
  • 16/19 – Won over 7f previously
  • 13/19 – Had raced within the last 30 days
  • 14/19 – Raced at Ascot previously
  • 12/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
  • 11/19 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
  • 9/19 – Raced 7 or more times that season
  • 8/19 – Returned a double-figure price
  • 8/19 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
  • 6/19 – Raced at Ayr last time out
  • 6/19 – Favourites that won
  • 2/19 – Won their previous race
  • 0/19 – Filly or mare winners
  • 9 of the last 11 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
  • The last 11 winners were aged 6 or younger
  • 7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
  • 5 of the last 13 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
  • 4 of the last 13 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
  • 2 of the last 3 winners came from stall 17
  • The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 15/2
  • Accidental Agent won the race in 2017

Note: Odds are subject to change

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Ascot Race Times and Names | Saturday 1st Oct 2022

  • 1:51 – Oakman Inns Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV
  • 2:25 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV
  • 3:00 – John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV
  • 3:36 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV
  • 4:10 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro British EBF Stakes (Registered As The October Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f SKY
  • 4:45 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f SKY

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