2023 Peter Marsh Trends: Trainer Venetia Williams Eyes Fifth Haydock Win


Our Peter Marsh trends can help you find the best profile of past winners ahead of this Saturday’s big Haydock horse race – a prize the Venetia Williams yard has won four times in total, including the last two years. But note the track does need to pass a Saturday 8am inspection.

Plus, we’ve some nice horse racing free bets you can claim to use on the race, while the latest Peter Marsh betting odds are showcased below too.

Peter Marsh Chase Trends & Haydock Betting Stats

The Peter Marsh Chase is one of the feature races this weekend, but track officials at Haydock Park will be hoping the cold weather eases up a bit before Saturday’s 3m 1 1/2f Handicap Chase with the course saying they’ve a 50/50 chance of racing at the moment (8am Saturday inspection called).

See our key 2023 Peter Marsh trends to apply to the final runners ahead of the big Haydock race on Saturday 21st January (2:40pm).

Peter Marsh Chase Trends

  • 19/19 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
  • 17/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
  • 17/19 – Aged 8 or older
  • 16/19 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
  • 16/19 – Had run within the last 36 days
  • 14/19 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
  • 14/19 – Won at Haydock previously
  • 13/19 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
  • 12/19 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
  • 12/19 – Favourites unplaced
  • 12/19 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
  • 11/19 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
  • 11/19 – Won over fences at Haydock before
  • 10/19 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
  • 10/19 – Irish bred
  • 10/19 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
  • 9/19 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
  • 7/19 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
  • 7/19 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
  • 8/19 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
  • 6/19 – Raced in the Rowland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
  • 5/19 – Trained by Sue Smith (3 of the last 7)
  • 4/19 – Winning favourites
  • 3/19 – Won their last race
  • 3/19 – Trained by Venetia Williams (4 wins in total and won the last two)
  • 2/19 – Trained by the McCain stable
  • The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 9/1

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What Date & Time Is The 2023 Peter Marsh Chase?

📅Time/Date: 2:40pm (Sat 21st January)
🏇Racecourse: Haydock Park
💰 Purse/Winner: £42,713
📺 TV: ITV3 / Racing TV

2023 Peter Marsh Chase Trends for Haydock Race

Use our key Peter Marsh Trends to find the best winning profile of past winners. Apply these stats to the final Haydock runners to see which horses have the best chance of winning based on history.

77% Of the Last 17 Peter Marsh Chase Winners Rated 139+

With 14 of the last 19 Peter Marsh Chase winners having a rating of 139+, then this is a decent trend to apply to Saturday’s race. If the main players at the head of the weights run this could potentially only leave us with a maximum of five qualifiers – Sam Brown, Dusart, Bristol De Mai, Minella Drama and Empire Steel.

Winning Course Form Something To Look For

A massive 14 of the last 19 Peter Marsh Chase winners has previous winning form at Haydock Park, so this is certainly something to look out for. For those that don’t know how to check this, just look for the ‘C’ next to the horse’s name on the race card – this indicates its a past ‘course winner’.

At this stage, Sam Brown, Bristol De Mai, Minella Drama, Fontaine Collonges, Blaklion, Five Star Getaway and Small Present are the past course winners entered.

Make 11st 3lbs The Weight Cut-off Point

In the last 19 runnings we’ve had 16 winners carry 11st 3lbs or less to victory, so this is a good guide when it come to the weight trend. At the moment, Sam Brown, Dusart and Bristol De Mai are all set to carry 11st 7lbs or more, so would fall down here.

If you want to take the weight stat a bit further, then 12 of the last 19 Peter Marsh Chase winners carried 10st 12lbs or less.

A Run in The Last 36 Days Is Something to Note

Having had a run in the last 36 days is another plus – this trend has delivered with 84% of the last 19 winners. Minella Drama (20), Fontaine Collonges (25), French Paradoxe (30), Copper’s Cross (20), Five Star Getaway (25) and Small Present (26) get the thumbs up on this stat.

A Top Three Finish Last Time Out A Plus

Look for a horse in-form and coming into the race off the back of a ‘top three’ finish last time out. This Peter Marsh Chase trend has been in play for 11 of the last 19 winners. Minella Drama, Cooper’s Cross and Small Present are the only ones that fit the bill here.

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8 and 9 Year-old Have The Best Recent Record

Looking at the best age of past Peter Marsh Chase winner, then 8 and 9 year-old have the best records – winning 10 of the last 19.

Dusart, Minella Drama, Empire Steel, Dr Kananga, Fontaine Collonges, French Paradoxe, Cooper’s Cross, Five Star Getaway and Small Present are the 8 and 9 year-olds in the race at this stage.

How Have the Peter Marsh Chase Favourites Fared?

In the last 19 runnings, we’ve had just four winning Peter Marsh Chase favourites land the spoils – but on a plus two of those have come in the last two years. We’ve also had 12 of the last 19 favourites finish unplaced.

This year’s likely Peter Marsh Chase favourites are Sam Brown, Dusart, Bristol De Mai, Minella Drama and French Paradoxe in what is a tight betting market.

Some Early Cheltenham Festival and Grand National Clues?

Being run over 3m+, then the Peter Marsh Chase can often be used as a stepping-stone for the Cheltenham Festival and Grand National, but we’ve not seen a winner go onto Aintree glory in recent years. Yes, 7 of the last 19 Peter Marsh Chase winners ran in the Grand National, but they were all unplaced.

Looking at the Cheltenham Festival, then like the National, we’ve seen 8 (of the last 19) Peter Marsh Chase winners head to Prestbury Park after taking this, but none have won a race at the best four days of jumps racing.

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Trainers Sue Smith, and Venetia Williams Should Be Respected

Finally, the trainers to look out for in the Peter Marsh Chase are Sue Smith (5 total wins) and Venetia Williams (4 total wins), with the two ladies mentioned being responsible for the last four winners between them.

At this stage, Sue Smith has Small Present in the race and Venetia Williams has Fontaine Collonges entered.

Peter Marsh Chase 2023 Betting & Key Runners

See below the latest betting odds ahead of the Peter Marsh Chase at Haydock on Saturday 21st January 2023.

  • DUSART @ 5/1 with BetUK
  • SAM BROWN @ 5/1 with BetUK
  • BRISTOL DE MAI @ 6/1 with BetUK
  • EMPIRE STEEL @ 13/2 with BetUK
  • FRENCH PARADOXE @ 7/1 with BetUK
  • MINELLA DRAMA @ 8/1 with BetUK

All odds correct as of 18th Jan 2023 and subject to change with others on request.

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BetUK Peter Marsh Free Bet Offer: How to Claim Your £30 Bonus

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You may not have come across BetUK in the bookmaking world, but they are certainly rising up the ranks as a trusted horse racing bookie with a lot of nice offers once joined and very competitive prices too.

There’s a £30 horse racing free bet waiting for you that you can use at Haydock races.

Just follow below the three simple steps to claiming BetUK welcome offer, which can be redeemed upon registration.

  1. Click here to sign up to BetUK
  2. Deposit and place a bet of up to £10 on any sport at odds of 1/2 (1.50) or greater
  3. You will then receive Peter Marsh Chase racing Free Bets plus other free bets to the value of £30 in total
  4. Free Bets credited after first bet settlement 3 x £10 = £30
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets BeGambleAware.org, T&Cs apply. Full T&C’s Apply. New customers on mobile only.

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Recent Peter Marsh Chase Winners

  • 2022 – ROYALE PAGAILLE (5/2 fav)
  • 2021 – ROYALE PAGAILLE (11/5 fav)
  • 2020 – VINTAGE CLOUDS (7/1)
  • 2019 – WAKANDA (6/1)
  • 2018 – THE DUTCHMAN (13/2)

WATCH: Royale Pagaille Winning The 2022 Peter Marsh Chase at Haydock

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