Use our 2023 Lincoln Handicap trends to help you find the winner of today’s big Doncaster race. You can use the key Lincoln Handicap stats to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners. Read on and we’ll reveal the horses to tick the most boxes.
Best Lincoln Handicap Bookmaker Offers
Lincoln Handicap Trends to Help You Find the Winner
The Pertemps Network Lincoln Handicap, this Saturday at Doncaster races, is the traditional curtain-raiser race to the new flat turf season.
There will be a maximum of 22 runners heading to post in search of the £77,310 first prize, which is run over a mile for horses aged 4+.
Let’s look at some of the main Doncaster stats in a bit more detail – which can hopefully point you in the direction of the winning horse. Plus, read on below to find our more in-depth Lincoln Handicap trends.
What Date & Time Is The 2023 Lincoln Handicap?
📅Time/Date: 3:35pm (Saturday 1st April 2023)
🏇Racecourse: Doncaster
💰 Purse/Winner: £77,310
📺 TV: ITV / SkySports Racing
All Of the Last 19 Lincoln Handicap Winners Were Aged 6 Or Younger
The first place to start if you want to narrow down your search for the 2023 Lincoln Handicap winner is the age. ALL of the last 19 winners were aged 6 or younger and even though most will fit the bill here, we can still rule out some.
Looking at the possible runners that are aged 7+ – Migration, Safe Voyage, Boardman, Bopedro and Revich – are the ones that need to defy this stat.
4 year olds have by far the best record too – they’ve won 11 of the last 19 runnings (58%). The first two in the betting Al Mubhir and Awaal are both 4 year-olds.
95% Of Recent Winners (last 19) Carried 9st 4lbs or Less
Weight is next up for this big-field handicap as 18 of the last 19 Lincoln winners carried 9st 4lbs or less.
If running, this would rule out Atrium, Greatgadian, Witch Hunter, Awaal and Migration.
While, sticking with the weight trend, it could also pay to know that 10 of the last 12 winners were weighted between 9-0 and 9-4. Backed up again in 2022 with Johan carrying 9-4.
The horses that fall into the 9-0 to 9-4 weight bracket are – Eilean Dubh, Wanees, Jimi Hendrix, Croupier, Bopedro, Baradar, Al Mubhir, Montassib, Safe Voyage and Boardman.
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73% Of the Last 19 Winners Drawn in Stall 9 Or Higher
The draw can play a big part too. In the last 19 runnings a massive 14 winners have come from stalls 9 or higher.
However, last year’s winner Johan defied this stat – winning from stall 4. But before that, the winners between 2015 and 2021 all came from stalls 10-22.
The horses drawn in 1-8 to potential avoid are – Eliean Dubh, Helm Rock, Encourageable, Baradar, Revich, Greatgadian, Safe Voyage and Jimi Hendrix.
Winning Form Over At Least a Mile Is Essential
Being run over a mile, then a larger chunk of the 22 runners will already have winning form over this trip. Therefore, we are probably not going to find many to knockout here. But it’s still worth a look and there are some – including Montassib, Greatgadian, Toshizou, Witch Hunter and Baradar that are all to still win over a mile.
4 Winning Favourites in The Last 19 Runnings
Four winning favourites in the last 19 runnings might not look like a great return at first glance – but it’s still a 21% strike-rate.
But it seems the market leaders either win or bomb out completely as 12 of the last 19 favourites were also unplaced.
This year’s Lincoln Handicap favourite looks set to be Al Mubhir, with Awaal not far behind in the betting.
Trainer William Haggas Is Respected
The powerful William Haggas yard like to target the Lincoln Handicap too – over the year’s the Newmarket handler has won this early season handicap four times (1992, 2007, 2010 & 2018) and needs just one more success to be the winning-most trainer.
This year he’s got Montassib and the hot favourite Al Mubhir running to try and make him the most successful trainer in the race’s history.
Other trainers to note are John Quinn, while the Channon yard won the race last year. Quinn runs Safe Voyage and Empirestateofmind and Channon has Majestic.
Lincoln Handicap Trends: The Horses That Tick The Most Boxes
After applying the main Lincoln Handicap trends to the 22 runners, these horses seem to have a lot going for them – Al Mubhir, Wanees, Majestic, Yanifer, Empirestateofmind and Croupier.
Lincoln Handicap Trends to Help Find The Winner
See below our in-depth Lincoln Handicap trends to help you find the best profile based on past winners of the race. Apply these Doncaster stats to the final runners to see which horses have the most going for them.
- 19/19 – Aged 6 or younger
- 18/19 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
- 16/19 – Had won over at least 1m before
- 15/19 – Had won between 2-4 times before
- 14/19 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
- 14/19 – Having their first run of the flat season
- 13/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
- 12/19 – Unplaced favourites
- 11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
- 11/19 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
- 10/19 – Officially rated between 95-100
- 10/19 – Placed first or second last time out
- 9/19 – Had raced at Doncaster before
- 8/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 8/19 – Won last time out
- 7/19 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
- 5/19 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
- 4/19 – Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
- 4/19 – Winning favourites
- 3/19 – Trained by William Haggas
- 2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
- 2/19 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
- 2/19 – Trained by John Quinn
- 2/19 – Trained by John Gosden
- 2/19 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 4)
- 10 of the last 12 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
- Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 36 runnings
Lincoln Handicap Recent Winners
- 2022 – JOHAN (28/1)
- 2021 – HAQEEQY (9/2)
- 2020 – Cancelled (Covid)
- 2019 – AUXERRE (5/2 fav)
- 2018 – ADDEYBB (5/1)
- 2017 – BRAVERY (20/1)
- 2016 – SECRET BRIEF (12/1)
- 2015 – GABRIAL (12/1)
- 2014 – OCEAN TEMPEST (33/1)
- 2013 – LEVITATE (20/1)
Lincoln Handicap Betting Odds
See below the latest 2023 Lincoln Handicap betting odds that you can use at the best horse racing betting sites. We’ve listed the top 10 in the betting, from the 22 runners.
- Al Mubhir @ 7/2
- Awaal @ 9/2
- Baradar @ 7/1
- Wanees @ 7/1
- Jimi Hendrix @ 7/1
- Atrium @ 11/1
- Majestic @ 12/1
- Montassib @ 12/1
- Migration @ 14/1
- Bopedro @ 20/1
Note: Others on request and odds are subject to change.
WATCH: Johan winning the 2022 Lincoln Handicap at Doncaster
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