2022 Becher Chase Trends: Which Horses Fit The Aintree Stats?

SNOW LEOPARDESS 1
SNOW LEOPARDESS 1
Join our Telegram channel for our exclusive free betting tips, picks and offers.

Our Becher Chase trends are a nice way of finding the best profiles of past winners of Saturday’s big Aintree race. Apply these stats to the 2022 runners and narrow down your search for the Becher Chase winner – a race that is run over the Grand National-style fences.

Already claimed these betting offers? You can check out the best horse racing betting sites and add more top bookmakers to your portfolio.


RELATED: Aintree Races Today 2022 – Cards, Tips & Results for Today’s Racing at Aintree


Becher Chase Trends and Aintree Betting Stats

See below our key 2022 Becher Chase trends to apply to the final runners ahead of Saturday’s big handicap contest at Aintree races.

  • 16/20 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
  • 16/20 – Carried 10-12 or less
  • 16/20 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
  • 16/20 – Had no more than 1 start that season
  • 15/20 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
  • 14/20 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
  • 14/20 – Aged 9 or older
  • 12/20 – Officially rated between 123-138
  • 12/20 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
  • 11/20 – Irish-bred winners
  • 11/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
  • 9/20 – Placed favourites
  • 8/20 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
  • 5/20 – Winning favourites
  • 4/20 – Won last time out
  • 3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
  • 3/20 – Irish-trained winners
  • 3/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
  • 1/20 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
  • 0/20 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
  • The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 12/1
  • Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
  • Snow Leopardess (4/1) won the race in 2021

Becher Chase 2022: What Date/Time?

📅Date: 2:05pm (3m2f) – Saturday 3rd Dec 2022
🏇Racecourse: Aintree
💰 Purse/Winner: £84,195
📺 TV: ITV4 / Racing TV


DID YOU KNOW? 16 of the last 20 Becher Chase winners carried 10st-12lbs or less. So, why not snap-up a FREE £50 bet with 10bet to use on Saturday’s Aintree race?

10 BET 2


2022 Becher Chase Trends For Aintree Race

Use our key Becher Chase Trends to find the best winning profile of past winners. Apply these stats to the Aintree runners to see which horses have the best chance of winning based on history.

70% Of The Last 20 Winners Aged 9 Or Younger

A decent stat to get going that should hopefully knock a fair few out, with 14 of the last 20 Becher Chase winners aged 9 or younger. This would be a negative for last year’s winner Snow Leopardess, who is 10 now, plus Cloth Cap, past Coral Gold Cup winner De Rasher Counter and Fagan.

80% Of Recent Winners (last 20 years) Carried 10st 12lbs or Less

Next up is to look at the weight carried as 16 of the last 20 Becher Chase winners had 10st 12lbs or less on their backs.

There are 23 horses entered for Saturday’s race, so the weight cut-off point based on this stat actually only sees four horses fit the bill – Now Where Or When, Percussion, Didero Vallis and Minella Bobo – while Domaine De L’Isle and Five Star Getaway are only outside this stat by a pound.

When Was The Last Back-to-Back Becher Chase Winner?

SNOW LEOPARDESS

12 months ago, we saw the popular grey, Snow Leopardess get the better of Hill Sixteen (who runs again too) by just a nose and the Charlie Longsdon runner is back to defend her title.

But when was the last horse to win the Becher Chase in back-to-back years? Actually, it was fairly recently with Walk In The Mill landing the spoils in 2018 and 2019.

Before that, we saw Hello Bud win the race in 2012 and 2010, while Vieux Lion Rouge (2016 & 2020) and Into The Red (1994 & 1996) have also won the race twice, but Walk In The Mill is the only Becher Chase winner in consecutive seasons.

Previous Experience Of The Grand National Fences Is Key

Another decent trend to have onside is to look for horses that have run over the tricky Grand Natioinal-style fences, so it’s no surprise that runners that have tasted the obstacles in the past have had a slight advantage.

Of the those heading to post in 2022, these are the horses that have run over the Grand National fences before – De Rasher Counter, Francky Du Berlais, Snow Leopardess, Hill Sixteen, Fortescue, Cloth Cap, Gesskille, Domaine De L’Isle, Five Star Getaway, Percussion and Didero Vallis.

75% Of The Last 20 Winners Had Raced In The Last 2 Months

Next up is to look for a recent run, with 15 of the last 20 Becher Chase winners having run in the last 7 weeks. Most fit the bill here, but those that are returning from a break are Fagan and The Jam Man.


RELATED: Tingle Creek Entries 2022 – Super Six Runners Set for Sandown Showpiece


Respect The Nigel Twiston-Davies Yard

nigel twiston davies

Over the years, we’ve seen the David Pipe (2020 & 2016) and Paul Nicholls (2004, 2006 & 2007) yards on the Becher Chase roll of honour, but it’s the Nigel Twiston-Davies stable that have by far the best record in modern times.

NTD has mopped-up six Becher Chase wins over the years – with the first coming in 1993 with Indian Tonic. He added Young Hustler (1995) and then former Grand National winner Earth Summit to his haul in 1998 before the turn of the century.

Then, more recently, he’s chipped in with three more successes in the race with Hello Bud (2010 & 2012) and Blaklion (2017) being his last winner.

Twiston-Davies runs Fantastikas this year in 2022, while David Pipe and Paul Nicholls don’t have runners this time.

How Have The Recent Favourites Fared?

Considering the competitive nature of the Becher Chase most years and the tough Grand National-style fences to tackle, it’s not been too bad a race for the market leaders. Over the last 20 runnings, we’ve had 5 winning Becher Chase favourites win the race (25% strike-rate).

We’ve also had 9 placed jollies over that 20-year period too. This year it’s tight at the top of the betting, with the Dan Skelton-trained Ashtown Lad and the recent Grand Sefton Chase runner-up Gesskille disputing the favourites berth.


Becher Chase 2022 Betting & Key Runners

See below the latest betting odds ahead of the Becher Chase at Aintree on Saturday 3rd December 2022.

Becher Chase Horse Latest Odds Bookmaker
GESSKILLE 9/2 10bet logo new
ASHTOWN LAD 5/1 10bet logo new
CAPTAIN KANGAROO 8/1 10bet logo new
HILL SIXTEEN 10/1 10bet logo new
SNOW LEOPARDESS 11/1 10bet logo new
THE WOLF 12/1 10bet logo new
FIVE STAR GETAWAY 12/1 10bet logo new
RECITE A PRAYER 14/1 10bet logo new
FANTASTIKAS 14/1 10bet logo new
DR KANANGA 16/1 10bet logo new
DE RASHER COUNTER 14/1 10bet logo new

All odds correct as of 08:33 GMT on Friday, 2nd Dec and subject to change – Others on request

Grand National

Recent Becher Chase Winners

  • 2021 – SNOW LEOPARDESS (4/1 fav)
  • 2020 – VIEUX LION ROUGE (12/1)
  • 2019 – WALK IN THE MILL (8/1)
  • 2018 – WALK IN THE MILL (10/1)
  • 2017 – BLAKLION (7/4 fav)
  • 2016 – VIEUX LION ROUGE (8/1 fav)
  • 2015 – HIGHLAND LODGE (20/1)
  • 2014 – OSCAR TIME (25/1)
  • 2013 – CHANCE DU ROY (14/1)
  • 2012 – HELLO BUD (14/1)

WATCH: Snow Leopardess Winning The 2021 Becher Chase at Aintree

Already Have Accounts With Our Featured Bookies? Here Are 10 Up-and-Coming Bookmakers With Top Free Bets

See below our select list of some of the best horse racing betting sites – but totally trusted bookmakers, that will also have prices ahead of the horse racing this week from Aintree. Plus, best of all, they ALL also have ‘must-see’ free bet sign-up offers to take advantage of and by joining this will give you a wider range of bookmakers so you can get the best value when placing your horse racing bets.

Best New Horse Racing Betting Sites

Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets

New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Mobile exclusive. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. 18+. T&Cs apply

New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Mobile exclusive. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. 18+. T&Cs apply

Claim Offer
Bet £20 Get £60 In Free Bets T&Cs Apply., 18+ Offer available 9am on 25/07/22 to 23:59 on 31/07/22

T&Cs Apply., 18+ Offer available 9am on 25/07/22 to 23:59 on 31/07/22

Claim Offer

Bet £10 Get £10 Free Bet

This offer is for new customers only and is available once per household. Max. FreeBet amount: £10 Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is: £10 Void/cancelled or cashed out bets do not count towards wagering to activate the free bet. Offer valid only to customers making a first deposit of £10 or more.

This offer is for new customers only and is available once per household. Max. FreeBet amount: £10 Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is: £10 Void/cancelled or cashed out bets do not count towards wagering to activate the free bet. Offer valid only to customers making a first deposit of £10 or more.

Claim Offer

Bet £30 Get A £30 Free Bet

Register a new account with Fitzdares and place your first bet at odds of Evens (2.0) or greater and get a matched Free Bet, up to £30. This offer applies to accounts who have joined from 08/02/22 only. This offer is only valid for new UK and Irish customers referred by selected affiliate marketing partners and triggered through the unique tracking URL in this page.

Register a new account with Fitzdares and place your first bet at odds of Evens (2.0) or greater and get a matched Free Bet, up to £30. This offer applies to accounts who have joined from 08/02/22 only. This offer is only valid for new UK and Irish customers referred by selected affiliate marketing partners and triggered through the unique tracking URL in this page.

Claim Offer

Bet £10 Get £10 Free Bet

New customer offer only. A qualifying bet is a real money sports bet of at least £10 win or £0 each way at minimum fractional odds of evens (2.0 in decimal odds). We'll credit your account with 1 x 10 free bet upon settlement of qualifying bet. Promotion runs from 25/02/2022 until 31/06/2022. If this promotion is withdrawn it will not impact any qualifying bet you have placed during promotional period

New customer offer only. A qualifying bet is a real money sports bet of at least £10 win or £0 each way at minimum fractional odds of evens (2.0 in decimal odds). We'll credit your account with 1 x 10 free bet upon settlement of qualifying bet. Promotion runs from 25/02/2022 until 31/06/2022. If this promotion is withdrawn it will not impact any qualifying bet you have placed during promotional period

Claim Offer

Bet £15 Get a £10 Free Bet

18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets not eligible. Neteller,Skrill and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply

18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets not eligible. Neteller,Skrill and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply

Claim Offer

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets

18+, UK only. Deposit and place a minimum £10 cash bet at single or accumulated odds of 1/1 or greater and you can qualify for up to £30 in free bets. Applies to first cash bet only. Free bets credited as 1 x £5 bet to use on Virtual Sports, the remaining Free bets shall be credited as 3 x £5 bets and a £10 Casino Bonus the next day. Cashed Out, Void or Draw No Bet wagers do not qualify for this promotion. Free Bets are credited upon qualifying first bet settlement. 7-day free bet expiry applies to all Free Bet awards. Available once per new customer. This offer cannot be combined with any other welcome or site promotion. Full T&C's apply.

18+, UK only. Deposit and place a minimum £10 cash bet at single or accumulated odds of 1/1 or greater and you can qualify for up to £30 in free bets. Applies to first cash bet only. Free bets credited as 1 x £5 bet to use on Virtual Sports, the remaining Free bets shall be credited as 3 x £5 bets and a £10 Casino Bonus the next day. Cashed Out, Void or Draw No Bet wagers do not qualify for this promotion. Free Bets are credited upon qualifying first bet settlement. 7-day free bet expiry applies to all Free Bet awards. Available once per new customer. This offer cannot be combined with any other welcome or site promotion. Full T&C's apply.

Claim Offer

100% First Deposit Bonus Up To £50

New bettors get 100% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; See full terms

New bettors get 100% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; See full terms

Claim Offer

Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bets

New UK, IE & Malta users only. Min. £10/€10 first deposit only using Debit Card or Trustly. Free bets expire in 90 days. T&Cs apply.

New UK, IE & Malta users only. Min. £10/€10 first deposit only using Debit Card or Trustly. Free bets expire in 90 days. T&Cs apply.

Claim Offer

Bet £15 Get £15

18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £15 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets not eligible. Neteller,Skrill and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply

18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £15 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets not eligible. Neteller,Skrill and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply

Claim Offer
Arrow to top