Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew was among the winners again with MOSTAHDAF at York on Wednesday and and has five stats-based picks on Thursday, August 24th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
YORK 3.00
ORBAAN (system – seasonal preference)
David O’Meara’s ORBAAN, unlucky in running when fourth of 18 in this race 12 months ago, might be able to reward each-way support again. He tends to go best at this time of year, recording form figures in July-August, after a recent run (within 14 days), of 17011429 (3-8) for a profit of £43.33 to a £1 level stake at SP.
STRATFORD 3.15
BAHTIYAR (system – Dan Skelton, stable debut, handicap hurdles)
Dan Skelton is 40 from 132 (30.3% strike-rate) when running a stable debutant in handicap hurdle company and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £20.02 to a £1 level stake at SP. The last three qualifiers at Stratford all won (3-1, 11-10 and evens), suggesting that BAHTIYAR, ex-Harry Whittington, could run a big race on the back of a wind operation for his new yard.
STRATFORD 3.50
LONG CALL (system – seasonal preference)
Tony Carroll’s veteran LONG CALL has a great record at this time of year, landing five of his 16 starts in August/September for a profit of £22.50 to a £1 level stake at SP. He returned to winning ways with a 7-1 success at Bangor on August 4th and can follow up.
CHELMSFORD 5.55
AL ANOUD (system – Ralph Beckett, Chelmsford, low draw)
Ralph Beckett has a good record on Chelmsford’s Polytrack, scoring with 38 of his 169 runners (22.5%) for a profit of £41.03 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those drawn in stall 7 or lower were 36 from 131 (27.5%) for a profit of £66.53. His Kingman newcomer AL ANOUD might be up to making a winning debut from stall 5 in this 1m2f maiden.
CHELMSFORD 6.30
LITE AND AIRY (system – Twilight Son, first-time blinkers)
Progeny of the sire Twilight Son often respond well to first-time blinkers, landing five of their 31 starts for a profit of £19.25 to a £1 level stake at SP. They’re three from 12 on the all-weather, with the sole previous Chelmsford runner scoring at odds of 14-1. LITE AND AIRY has shown very little to date, hence his current odds of 50-1, but he could be worth chancing to tiny each-way stakes in the hope that the headgear has a positive impact.
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