Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew heads to Newton Abbot (jumps) and Roscommon (Flat) for his two stats-based picks on Tuesday, August 22nd. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
NEWTON ABBOT 3.00
THREE MACKS (system – Sophie Leech, handicap hurdles, Newton Abbot)
In the past 15 years, Sophie Leech has a 16 from 90 record with her handicap hurdlers at Newton Abbot for a profit of £57.00 to a £1 level stake at SP. She hasn’t had a winner here since eight-time course scorer Tamarillo Grove struck in June 2019, but her last three runners made the frame at 20-1, 13-2 and 11-2 and THREE MACKS could be worth an each-way interest on her stable debut.
ROSCOMMON 5.45
BEAUTY THUNDER (system – Night Of Thunder 2yos, turf, early starts)
Juvenile progeny of sire Night Of Thunder tend to run well in their early starts and backing those who’d had two or fewer previous runs, on turf only, would have identified 53 winners from 278 runners (19.1%) for a profit of £64.45 to the usual £1 stake, improving to £94.45 (17 winners from 75 runners) on actual good to soft or softer going. Ger Lyons ended a quiet spell with a 14-1 winner at the Curragh in Sunday and perhaps BEAUTY THUNDER can build on last month’s Galway fourth. THOR’S HAMMER also qualifies on the same angle and could be the one for the forecast.
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