Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew has been in great form this week and has three more stats-based selections on Friday, August 18th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
NEWBURY 2.05
EXTRAORDINAIRE (system – Oisin Murphy riding for Brian Meehan)
Oisin Murphy has a useful record when riding for Brian Meehan, scoring on 13 of his 78 mounts (16.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £33.60 to a £1 level stake at SP. Only 15 of those were newcomers are three of them won for a profit of £22.50. Murphy seems to do extremely well on fillies when riding for Meehan, regardless of whether they had previous experience or not, recording form figures of 124211102 (4-9) since 2019, with the winners at 16-1, 13-2, 13-2 and 11-2. EXTRAORDINAIRE can continue that good sequence when she makes her debut in this 6f fillies’ novice contest.
NEWBURY 3.45
BEENHAM (system – Havana Grey, 5f, turf)
Progeny of sire Havana Grey are 48 from 229 when running over 5f on turf and backing them blindly would have returned a profit of ÂŁ24.98 to a ÂŁ1 level stake at SP. BEENHAM, second best of her group when sixth in the Super Spring over course and distance last month, was only fifth when favourite for a conditions contest at Glorious Goodwood but got involved in a three-way battle for the early lead and can be forgiven that effort.
THIRSK 4.53
ODETTE’S BEAU (system – Michael Dods, second-time out 2yos)
Since the beginning of 2012, Michael Dods is 40 from 245 (16.3%) with his second-time out juveniles for a profit of £58.22 to a £1 level stake at SP. ODETTE’S BEAU was too green to do himself justice at Pontefract on last month’s debut, beating only one home, but went off at just 15-2 and is no doubt capable of better. He can take a big step forward this afternoon.
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Related
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