Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew unearthed 16-1 Sligo winner GLYDE RANGER on Wednesday and has three three stats-based picks on Thursday, August 10th. Andrew is taking a short break and his next column will be for the racing on Monday, August 14th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
NOTTINGHAM 4.10
NANNIE DEE (system – Crisford yard, handicap debut)
Handicap debutants from the Simon & Ed Crisford yard have a 65 from 263 record (24.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £10.38 to a £1 level stake at SP. The eight runners at Nottingham have recorded form figures of 16191532 (3-8) and NANNIE DEE, a daughter of Night Of Thunder, will appreciate racing on easy ground for the first time. She was outpaced when finishing a respectable 80-1 seventh of 13 over 1m at Chelmsford last time and the step up to 1m2f should suit.
YARMOUTH 4.55
SAJWAAN (system – Kodiac, gelded since last run)
Progeny of the sire Kodiac have a 52 from 361 record (14.4% strike-rate) on their first start following a gelding operation for a profit of £206.58 to a £1 level stake at SP. Mick Attwater’s SAJWAAN looked ill at ease on the track when last of six at Brighton on his most recent outing and the gelding operation, switch to a more conventional course and his yard’s good recent form all adds up to a big run.
CHEPSTOW 7.00
I STILL HAVE FAITH (system – Expert Eye, last-time out winners)
Progeny of the sire Expert Eye tend to hold their form well and the last-time-out winners are 13 from 44 (29.6%) for a profit of £7.48 (expected winners = 9.05). The handicappers are ten from 24 (41.7%, +£7.98) and I STILL HAVE FAITH, a winner at Nottingham and Newmarket last month, can complete his hat-trick.
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