Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Spreadex Analysis – Wednesday, July 19th

Andrew Mount
Andrew Mount

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.

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08/03/23

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Spreadex offers both normal fixed odds betting plus spread betting on horse racing. There are some key differences between this form of gambling and placing regular fixed odds bets. Get the calls right and punters could win big, but the potential to lose money can be much higher. Intrigued? Then check out this how to spread bet on horse racing guide:

Andrew found 3-1 winner VAIN GLORIA on Tuesday and has two recommended bets/trades on Wednesday, July 19th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

CATTERICK 3.52

BLAZING SON heads the betting for this 6f handicap but Bryan Smart’s five-year-old was only fourth on his turf return at Thirsk last time, despite racing on the quickest trip of ground next to the stands’ rail. Monsieur Kodi, who won that race after also getting on the ‘golden highway’, was beaten at relatively short odds next time (7-2), as was third-placed Barney’s Boy (9th, 11-2) who was also on the right part of the track. He went into that Thirsk run on the back of wins at Newcastle/Southwell but he’s won just once from 14 starts on turf and could prove vulnerable again. Sell in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market. Fixed odds punters might want to side with last year’s winner OSO RAPIDO, who returned to form with a good 33-1 fifth of 16 at York last week.

Recommendation: oppose BLAZING SON in Catterick 3.52

 

CATTERICK 4.57

Progeny of sire The Last Lion have a poor overall record on turf, landing just 19 of their 329 starts (5.8% strike-rate) for a loss of £223.92 to a £1 level stake at SP (-68.1% on turnover). KRAKEN POWER represents an in-form yard, but he’s won just one of his 27 turf starts and was only fifth when a 9-2 shot at Ayr last week. His sole turf success came on his second career start when 2-1 favourite for a 6f Hamilton maiden back in June 2020 and his full record in turf handicaps stands at 38233833056040659U7035 (0-22), suggesting he could prove vulnerable yet again. Sell in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market.

Recommendation: Oppose KRAKEN POWER in Catterick 4.57


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