Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew heads to Bath and Haydock for his four stats-based selections Friday,, June 9th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
BATH 5.30
SAVALAS (system – Adrian WIntle, local tracks)
There are two tracks within a 50-mile radius of Adrian Wintle’s Gloucestershire base – Bath and Chepstow – and he has a fine recent record at both venues. Since racing resumed after lockdown in June 2020 he’s sent out eight winners from 57 runners at Chepstow for a profit of £25.50 to a £1 level stake at SP and 19 winners from 87 runners at Bath for a profit of £42.45. SAVALAS, a Bath winner last time out, looks capable of following up.
HAYDOCK 7.20
PALM LILY (system – Ralph Beckett, first-time blinkers)
In-form Ralph Beckett has a cracking record when using first-time blinkers, scoring with 29 of the 133 qualifiers since 2016 (21.8% strike-rate) for a profit of £105.10 to a £1 level stake at SP. He’s saddled two winners (16-1 and 4-1) from just six such runners at Haydock and PALM LILY, not disgraced in a three-length sixth behind Radio Goo Goo at Chester last time, could be worth chancing now that she sports the headgear.
BATH 8.20
BLUE HERO (system – Adrian WIntle, local tracks)
Like Savalas (see 5.30 Bath), BLUE HERO qualifies as a bet for me on the Adrian Wintle local tracks angle and, like his stablemate, he too won here on his most recent outing. He did well to overcome a wide draw in stall 11 of 11 that night (next three drawn 4, 3 and 5) and a 2lb rise is unlikely to stop him.
HAYDOCK 8.25
DALLAS STAR (system – Amo Racing-owned newcomers)
Backing newcomers owned by Amo Racing, whether two or three-year-olds and regardless of who trains them, is a fruitful exercise. Their distinctive colours have been carried to victory by 36 of the 156 qualifiers (23.1% strike-rate) for a profit of £45.73 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those from the yard of Dominic Ffrench Davis have form figures of 24112124122 (4-11) for a profit of £12.50 and DALLAS STAR looks set to run a big race.
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Related
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