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Weekend Betting: Why Everton can stop City



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Sky cameras are at Main Road on Saturday to see Manchester City take on Everton (12.45pm KO) and the bookmakers make the home side red hot favourites at 1.44 to bag all three points.

However the stats suggest that it may not be as clear cut as the odds suggest.

Everton beat Manchester City 2-1 in both encounters last season, and have won seven and lost one of their last eight Premier League games against Mancini’s mega-bucks men.They have also won their last four away games against the Citizens, and have made a solid start to their campaign despite all the financial problems at the club.

That makes the 8.5 on offer with Stan James and Victor Chandler look huge, and the Toffees look a tasty bet at that price to cause an upset.

Tim Cahill has opened the scoring in three of the last four games he has started against City, and is a 12 shot with bet365 and Paddy Power to repeat the dose.

City’s neighbours United travel to Stoke in a bid to extend their glorious winning streak, and news that Javier Hernandez is fit and available for action will not be welcomed by Potters fans.

United are general 1.53 shots to bag another 3 points, and that’s not surprising given that they have won all their six Premier League games against Stoke – conceding just two goals in the process.

Add to that the fact that they are unbeaten in five this campaign and have netted 21 goals in doing so and you can see why the bookies are running scared.

They are impossible to oppose and one bet that screams out value is the 2.3 on offer in the half time/full time market with bet365, Boylesports and Stan James.

Given how quickly Sir Alex Ferguson’s young guns have been out of the blocks this season, odds against looks a cracking bet.

In stark contrast to United’s flying start, Arsenal have made their worst ever beginning to a Premiership campaign since the 1953-54 season.

Arsene Wenger’s men currently sit in 17th place in the table, and they play host to Bolton in what has become a must win game.

They are 1.44 to beat the Trotters, and the match looks a gilt edge opportunity for them to get their season back on track.

The Gunners have won nine and lost none of the 12 Premier League home games against Bolton, with Bolton’s last league win in north London coming back in January 1962.

Bolton have also conceded 13 goals in the opening five games of the season, and a back on song Arsenal attack would surely be able to wreak havoc among their defence.

Robin van Persie, who needs just two goals to reach his century for the Gunners, is the obvious one to net the opener and is a 4.2 chance with Victor Chandler.

Arsenal to win 2-0 or 2-1 is my idea of the outcome, and those scores can be backed at 7.5 with bet365 and Paddy Power, and 8.5 with bet365 respectively.

Finally a big win looks on the cards for Chelsea who take on Swansea at Stamford Bridge.

The Swans are finding life tough in the top flight, so it’s no surprise that the Blues are a top priced 1.2 to inflict even more misery on the Welsh side.

They have won just one of their last 8 games away from the Liberty Stadium, and given that Chelsea’s have won 8 and lost none of their last nine home games at The Bridge a wide margin victory to nil looks on the cards.

bet365 and Paddy Power both offer 1.91 about a clean sheet and a win for Chelsea and that looks better value than backing them in the outright market.

Chelsea to win 4-0 or 5-0 is my idea of the outcome. The former is a general 10 shot whilst the latter is available at 19 with bet365.