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Week 9 NCAAF – Michigan State vs. Michigan – Odds, Picks & Predictions

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michigan surrender cobra

It was the game that gave us possibly the most well-known college football surrender cobra (headline picture) of all time, the battle for the Paul Bunyan Trophy. Of course, it is Michigan State versus Michigan in a Big Ten East battle for the ages. The rivalry spans back over a century, but Michigan will be hopeful of putting an end to the Spartans’ two-game winning streak this year. We take a look at the odds and offer our picks and predictions for this massive week nine NCAA football encounter.

Michigan State Spartans @ #4 Michigan Wolverines

Where and when?

  • Kick-off: Saturday, 10/29/2022 7:30 pm EST.
  • Venue: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI.
  • TV: Live on ABC and the ESPN Sports app.

What are the odds?

Team Moneyline Spread
MSU
+1050 +22.5 (-110)
Michigan
-2500 -22.5 (-110)

 

Total Points Line
Odds
Over 55
-110
Under 55
-110

*Odds courtesy of Bovada. Prices correct at time of publication and are subject to fluctuation.

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Spartans seeking big upset win

The undefeated Michigan Wolverines host rivals Michigan State on Saturday as the Spartans try to play spoiler in Michigan’s CFP bid. Michigan are currently 7-0 and the fourth ranked team in college football. Fresh off a bye, the Wolverines will be keen to assert their dominance over their rivals and keep the bid for a playoff place alive.

Sportsbooks believe Michigan are a shoo-in for this one. They are massive odds on favorites on the moneyline while giving up 22.5 points on the spread. The total points line for the game is set at a reasonable 55 points.

The 3-4 Michigan State Spartans stopped the rot with an overtime win over Wisconsin last time out. Prior to that, they were on a four-game losing streak and struggling to get anything going. Fresh off a bye, like their opponents, the Spartans will be seeking to pull off a massive upset, but they always step up their game in the battle for the Paul Runyan Trophy.

How will this game be decided?

jj mccarthy

Heart. It’s as simple as that, really. Michigan State is going to have to play with a whole lot of heart if they are to get close to Michigan on Saturday. The talent gap is a little much to overcome without it.

The matchups for the Spartans are ugly regardless of where you look. Michigan will likely look to running back Blake Corum to lead the attack again. Corum is an absolute unit and he leads the NCAA in rushing touchdowns so far this year.

Over their last three games, MSU has given up 4.7 yards per carry and that could get uglier tomorrow. Corum goes at a clip of 6.2 yards per carry and he will be hopeful of steamrollering this Spartans defense on Saturday.

Michigan QB JJ McCarthy (pictured above) will also be pleased to see the matchups for his wide receivers are positive too. Wherever we look on this side of the ball, it is all Wolverines.

However, the one area we can’t account for is what’s inside the chest of those Spartan players. That has the ability to blow up the algorithms and models of the greatest gambler.

That’s what a MSU fan would say anyway, we are not buying it. It is going to be tough for them to move the ball on this Wolverines unit and they won’t stop them all day. Load up on Michigan and let’s go.

What are the picks?

  • Michigan -22.5 @ -110 with Bovada
  • Under 55 @ -110 with Bovada

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