Leading racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, the GG.co.uk website and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below…
Andrew heads to Ayr (jumps), Fakenham (jumps) and Wetherby (Flat) for four selections on Tuesday, May 3rd. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
BALKALIN (system – Maurice Barnes runners in the month of May)
In the past five years, trainer Maurice Barnes has a record of 16 winners from 95 runners in the month of May (16.8% strike-rate) and backing all the qualifiers would have returned a huge profit of £187.63 to a £1 level stake at SP. BALKALIN has been running consistently well since joining his current yard and can be supported each-way in this maiden hurdle.
COMMODORE MILLER (system – Nicky Henderson handicap hurdle debutants in summer)
Nicky Henderson does well with his summer jumpers and had we bet those having their first run in a handicap hurdle, during the May to October period, we’d have won 26 of our 103 bets in the past 15 years (25.2% strike-rate) and made a profit of £52.61 to a £1 level stake at SP. COMMODORE MILLER, who did really well to run second here at Fakenham on his hurdles debut last year after racing in the ‘swamp’ on the inside rail, can go well on his handicap debut.
RAPID FLIGHT (system – Jimmy Moffatt stable switchers)
Since the beginning of 2015, Jimmy Moffatt has an eight from 44 record (18.2% strike-rate) at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other trainers and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £42.00 to the usual £1 stake. RAPID FLIGHT, whose sole success for Nicky Henderson came in May, can make a winning start for new connections.
MCCANN THE MAN (system – Fountain Of Youth, turf, recent run)
Progeny of the sire Fountain Of Youth are showing a profit of £307.63 to a £1 level stake at SP when running in Flat turf races after a recent outing (four weeks or less). MCCANN THE MAN has had excuses so far this season, running as though the outing were needed when fourth at Windsor before failing to settle under a 7lb claimer when fifth at Nottingham. The cut back to 7f looks a good idea and Hollie Doyle takes the ride.
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