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Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Thursday Picks – July 7th

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Andrew Mount's

Leading racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, the GG.co.uk website and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below…

Andrew found Lingfield winner ROYAL MARINER on Wednesday and has three selections at at Doncaster, Epsom and Newbury on Thursday, July 7th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

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DONCASTER 4.20

PERSIAN ROYAL (system – top weights, Class 5 handicaps, down in grade)

PERSIAN ROYAL was too keen on his reappearance/first start since gelded at Nottingham in April, fading into sixth place, and again failed to settle when fourth at Kempton next time. Today’s likely strong pace will help him in that regard and the drop from Class 4 to Class 5 level will also assist. This year, had we bet all top weights in Class 5 handicaps on turf, who were dropping in grade, we’d have won 35 of our 179 bets (19.6%) and made a profit of £16.08.

 

EPSOM 5.53

CAIUS CHORISTER (system – raced freely when winning last time out)

Horses described as having ‘raced freely’ when scoring on their latest outing often make good bets to follow up. Since the spring of 2016, 30 of the 97 qualifiers have won for a profit of £39.07 to a £1 level stake at SP. CAIUS CHORISTER won’t be much of a price but the daughter of Golden Horn won at Salisbury last time despite failing to settle and meeting trouble, and that form was boosted when the runner-up bolted up at Pontefract next time.

 

NEWBURY 6.38

QUEEN OF UPLANDS (system -Tom Dascombe, restricted novice races)

Tom Dascombe has a six from 16 record in restricted novice contests, with those who’d already had racecourse experience recording form figures of 1111113776 (6-10) for a profit of £34.66. The three unplaced horses were all big prices (25-1, 28-1 and 33-1) and QUEEN OF UPLANDS will appreciate the drop in grade after bumping into subsequent Listed scorer Lezoo when a 14-1 eighth of 12 at Bath last time.

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