Leading racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, the GG.co.uk website and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below…
Andrew found winners Fodon (11-1 from 16-1) and Affogate (11-10 from 7-2) on Wednesday and has four more selections on Thursday, April 14th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
CHEEKY MAXI (system – Richard Hannon, second-time out 2yos, beaten when fancied on debut)
Richard Hannon’s juveniles who were beaten on their debuts when starting as favourite or second favourite, have a great record at the second time of asking. Since the beginning of 2015, they’ve landed 40 of their 133 starts (30.1% strike-rate) for a profit of £63.89 to a £1 level stake at SP. CHEEKY MAXI was only ninth on his debut at Leicester on April 1st but was sent off as the 15-8 favourite and can be forgiven that effort as he displayed obvious signs of inexperience.
THE GLANCING QUEEN (system – mares only races)
It was a strange move to run THE GLANCING QUEEN against geldings in the Plate Handicap Chase at the Cheltenham festival last month, as she has form figures of 1111511 (6-7) in mares-only jumps races and she could have taken on her own sex in what a weak renewal of the Mares’ Chase. Her sole defeat in mares-only company came at the Cheltenham festival when best of the British-trained runners in last season’s Dawn Run. She was even-money favourite at the time of writing and is likely to prove hard to beat.
KENSTONE (system – Adrian Wintle, local tracks)
Since racing resumed after lockdown one, Adrian Wintle has done extremely well at Bath and Chepstow, the only tracks within 50 miles of his Gloucestershire base. Backing his runners blind at these two venues would have found 20 winners from 81 bets for a profit of £81.63 to a £1 level stake at SP. KENSTONE scored on his first trip at Bath last year and can repeat the dose.
RUNNING CLOUD (system – Adrian Wintle, local tracks)
RUNNING CLOUD qualifies on the trainer/course angle discussed earlier (Bath 6.00). He’s hardly prolific on turf but has won here and did clock a good speed figure on his latest turf outing, despite only finishing sixth.
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