Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, the GG.co.uk website and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below…
Andrew enjoyed an each-way return with SAULIRE STAR (3rd, 11-1 from 14-1) on Thursday and has four selections on Friday, April 22nd. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
LITTLE EARL (system – Robert Cowell, 5f handicaps, first run since gelded)
In the past ten years, Robert Cowell is six from 29 with newly-gelded runners in 5f handicaps and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £33.13 to a £1 level stake at SP. LITTLE EARL, a non-runner at Thirsk recently because of unsuitably soft going, should find underfoot conditions more to his liking here.
RIVER THAMES (system – sire Churchill, second time out)
Progeny of the sire Churchill have a poor record on their racecourse debuts with only one of the 73 qualifiers winning. That winner was RIVER THAMES, who scored by neck from shorter-priced stablemate Changingoftheguard in a 1m Punchestown maiden last September. The runner-up hacked up by six lengths at Dundalk next time to give the form a boost. Backing Churchill offspring second time out doesn’t show a profit (ten winners from 62, -£27.73) but those who finished in the top four on their debuts are six from 17 for a profit of £5.43. River Thames can cement his Derby claims by maintaining his 100% record here.
DREAMSUNDERMYFEET (system – Martin Keighley, Southwell jumps)
Martin Keighley has a 36 from 197 record with his jumpers at Southwell and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £57.87 to a £1 level stake at SP. DREAMSUNDERMYFEET has course figures of 1113 (3-4) and will appreciate the return to this venue and step back up to 2m4f after getting outpaced over 2m when third at Leicester last time.
RATOUTE YUTTY (system – Midnight Legend hurdlers, 3m+, spring/summer, good or faster going)
Progeny of the sire Midnight Legend tend to perform best on good or faster going in the spring or early summer and also appreciate a trip of 3m+. Combining these conditions in handicap hurdles only would have found 23 winners from 182 runners for a profit of £38.13 to a £1 level stake at SP. RATOUTE YUTTY was backed from 9-1 into 4-1 when scoring at Huntingdon last month and the runner-up franked the form when going one better at Ludlow earlier this week. She can follow up.
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