Starting off a new month on Sunday, 1 May, the horse racing NAP of the Day for SportsLens experts is Tenebrism. She contests the 1000 Guineas, the feature race on the Rowley Mile at Newmarket today (3:40). This Aidan O’Brien filly looks the best value Bet of the Day at terrific 3/1 odds.
A daughter of the pacy Caravaggio, there’s sufficient stamina on the dam side of Tenebrism’s horse racing pedigree to believe she can get the trip. She is also Ballydoyle’s first string for a race her trainer has won five times in the last six years. Tenebrism is the horse racing NAP today and here’s why to back her.
Why will horse racing NAP of the Day Tenebrism win?
The stable’s excellent record in the main event of Newmarket races today gives Tenebrism obvious claims. O’Brien doesn’t tilt at windmills and had any number of fillies he could’ve aimed at this Group 1. He relies on just two. While stable companion Tuesday retains tons of scope and potential, that one has only won a maiden.
As past horse racing results show, Tenebrism already has a Group 1 victory at Newmarket on her CV when storming clear in the closing stages of the 6f Cheveley Park Stakes last autumn. Back at headquarters on similar ground that’s good to firm in places, it gives her every chance of staying the extra quarter-mile.
Breeding suggests O’Brien filly has sufficient stamina for Classic test
Out of Royal Ascot Coronation Stakes heroine and Prix Jacques Le Marois winner Immortal Verse, Tenebrism’s mother clearly got this trip. The distaff side can be just as influential as the sire in shaping a thoroughbred’s career. Ballydoyle stable jockey Ryan Moore chooses her over Tuesday too.
Taking all that into account, Tenebrism not only looks a worthy favourite on the best betting sites but can provide O’Brien with an eighth win in this Classic. The forecast quick going promises to suit. A £10 punt on our horse racing NAP of the Day, Tenebrism, with 888Sport returns £40 at her current price if she wins. This wager qualifies new customers for £40 in bonus after signing up too.
Joie De Soir the Barbeville bet in Paris at Longchamp
The Coolmore partners of Magnier, Smith and Tabor don’t just have horses in training with O’Brien. Andre Fabre’s Joie De Soir really caught the eye when a fast-finishing runner-up on reappearance, so should come on for that in the extended 1m 7f Group 3 Prix de Barbeville at Longchamp in France (4:45).
This Fastnet Rock filly was far from disgraced when placed tackling her elders last season. Joie De Soir chased home Raabihah and Control Tower in Group races at Deauville and Saint-Cloud. If the odds priced up on horse racing betting sites are any indicator, then she should turn the tables on Chantilly conqueror Palus Argentus.
In-form Fabre and Guyon team up for NB to horse racing NAP
Fabre is in fine form, saddling a treble in Saint-Cloud on Friday. Maxime Guyon takes the ride on Joie De Soir for the first time and he’s also going well in the saddle. He boasts a 36 per cent strike rate in the saddle over the last 14 days.
With race fitness on her side and getting weight all-round bar Bubble Smart, who hasn’t had a run, Joie De Soir is the youngest in the field. She is open to the most progress, especially at this staying trip based on how she shaped over 1m 7f last time out. The 100/30 could be a bit of value. Joie De Soir is next best to our horse racing NAP today.
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Stake a mere £10 on today’s Bet of the Day and new customers get £30 in free bets with 888Sport, plus a £10 casino bonus. Claim the offer by following these six easy steps:
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Related to Our Horse Racing NAP of the Day
With the Flat season now well underway, there are some big events to come over the summer including the Epsom Derby on the Platinum Jubilee weekend and Royal Ascot after that. Here’s the latest daily horse racing content from SportsLens:
- Check out key stats and 1000 Guineas trends for the fillies’ Classic
- Look at today’s Lucky 15 tips containing our four best bets from across the cards
- Newmarket is the course for Sunday’s Placepot tips for betting on the Tote
- View all of the horse racing tips today from our experts on a busy day of action
- These Newmarket tips and trends from Andy Newton are well worth following