Arsenal have 40% chance of beating Manchester United and helping Chelsea

Arsenal v Manchester United
English Premier League
Emirates Stadium
Sunday 01 May 2011
Kickoff: 14:05 GMT

From being the closest challengers to Manchester United and after a season where, at the start, Arsene Wenger boldly proclaimed that Arsenal were going to fight for trophies on all fronts, Arsenal’s best hope now is to throw a mildly annoying spanner in Manchester United’s efficient march to a 19th league title.

Arsene Wenger has described this season as being the most frustrating since 2005, which is a bit alarming considering that Arsenal have had worse seasons in between. The logic is understandable – the competition this year was the weakest in recent memory and a consistent surge by Arsenal would have seen them have the beating of Manchester United, just as Chelsea had surged to the top at the start of the season.

Plus the near consecutive defeats in three knockout competitions – you don’t need me to repeat what happened – means that in terms of kicks to the teeth, Arsenal put their foot to the mouth in rapid succession and never recovered from it.

Arsenal are determined to beat Manchester United and end their season on a high, but they will be mindful of facing a team that has, despite it’s own setbacks in recent years, always bounced back to fight again.

With the Champions League semi-final second leg a mere formality, United will look towards playing a strong side and grinding out a win at the Emirates (with a similar style to the one adopted in the previous FA Cup expected). The United-Arsenal rivalry is big enough that no fan will be looking beyond Sunday – regardless of what happens elsewhere, United will want to beat Arsenal.

It’s not likely though – if you were ever to bet on Arsenal getting back on their feet and pushing Manchester United to the limit – this is the moment. With little left to play for, Arsenal will unleash all their frustrations of this season for 90 minutes against United. Will it be enough?

Soccerlens Prediction: A 1-1 draw – enough for Arsenal to show their fight and United to get the point they need to stay ahead even if they lose to Chelsea next week. Back a 1-1 draw on Betfair at 7.4 using this free £25 bet, which also enters you in a contest to win £100 for free.

Castrol EPL Match Prediction

  • Man Utd have won six and lost none of their last seven matches against Arsenal in all competitions.
  • United have won 3-1 on their last two visits to the Emirates Stadium.
  • Arsenal have conceded nine penalties this season, more than any other team, and one in each of their last three matches.
  • The Castrol EPL Match Predictor gives Arsenal a 40% chance of winning, with the most likely result being a 1-1 draw. Learn more about the Castrol EPL Predictor.