All English clubs mathematically assured of quarterfinals
If all mathematical favourites progress in the Champions League, the quarterfinals will consist of four sides from England, a club from Germany, one from Portugal and teams from Greece and Spain:
- When looking at the history of European competition in a two legged knockout round format, all 51 teams that won the first leg by 5-0 away progressed to the next round, making Sporting CP’s mission virtually impossible.
- Liverpool have percentage wise a 91% chance to reach the last eight following their 1-0 win at Real Madrid a fortnight ago.
- FC Porto’s 2-2 draw at Atlético Madrid made them prohibitive favourites to go through at 84%-16%.
- Panathinaikos and FC Barcelona are both favoured by 77 percentage points to 23 following 1-1 away draws at Villarreal CF and Olympique Lyon respectively.
- Manchester United hold a 67-33 edge over Internazionale as historically two thirds of the sides that earned a first leg goalless draw away from home have advanced.
- Chelsea and Arsenal are slight favourites (58-42) after securing 1-0 home wins against Juventus and AS Roma respectively.
Odds of advancing to CL quarterfinals following first leg of second round
| Date | Home team 1st leg | Away team 1st leg | Result | Home team | Away team |
| 24 Feb 2009 | Arsenal (ENG) | AS Roma (ITA) | 1-0 | 58% | 42% |
| 24 Feb 2009 | Atlético Madrid (ESP) | FC Porto (POR) | 2-2 | 16% | 84% |
| 24 Feb 2009 | Internazionale (ITA) | Manchester United (ENG) | 0-0 | 33% | 67% |
| 24 Feb 2009 | Olympique Lyon (FRA) | FC Barcelona (ESP) | 1-1 | 23% | 77% |
| 25 Feb 2009 | Chelsea (ENG) | Juventus (ITA) | 1-0 | 58% | 42% |
| 25 Feb 2009 | Real Madrid (ESP) | Liverpool (ENG) | 0-1 | 9% | 91% |
| 25 Feb 2009 | Sporting CP (POR) | Bayern München | 0-5 | 0% | 100% |
| 25 Feb 2009 | Villarreal CF (ESP) | Panathinaikos (GRE) | 1-1 | 23% | 77% |
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